"Final" Trump Ukraine Peace Offer

I talk about "pregnant persons" as a term here.

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The Trump Administration has provided a "final" peace plan for Ukraine. The foreign policy guy at LGM thinks it is "not terrible." Heather Cox Richardson has a somewhat more negative take. What do I know?

Still. A few things. First, Trump has already backtracked on multiple things, including tariffs. Let's say that "final" should be taken with a grain of salt. 

Second, I don't consider anything Trump sets forth good. Don't trust it. Imagine how Ukraine feels even without Trump/Vance trying to blackmail and belittle them (Trump back to the last time). 

Third, these "off the table" things referenced by the LGM guy don't impress me much:

It left out three Russian goals: denazification, demilitarization, and a prohibition on foreign influence.

He acknowledges "denazification" is a bullshit label. It is code for removing any number of reasonable people whom Russia deems as not supportive of its interests. 

Next, demilitarization is somewhat likely to happen after Ukraine is no longer on a full war footing. OTOH, it cannot totally demilitarize without threatening its well-being. Russia has repeatedly invaded since promising otherwise.

Finally, Ukraine cannot functionally survive without some "foreign influence," which again will be defined broadly by Russia. Its long-term survival -- as do ours on some level -- is having foreign allies and sponsors. 

The first reaction from Ukraine, and from what I can see, its European allies, is negative. I acknowledge my lack of overall knowledge on these subjects. Also, with Trump in power, we are stuck without a horrible major negotiating party that is at least quasi-pro-Russia. And, any peace treaty will be a compromise that will have some bad parts. 

I'm just here noting my first reactions. FWIW.