SCOTUS Watch: Past and Future

Scalia/Court Expansion 

The tenth anniversary of Justice Scalia's death recently passed. Volokh Conspiracy had multiple positive accounts. A Fix the Court email update I received was more negative. 

My position is also largely negative. See here. I linked a VC post, and "Joe" says more over there. 

Scalia's death led to a de facto "packing" of the Court when Republicans refused to even have a hearing for Merrick Garland. They then rushed (one month) the confirmation of Barrett. 

Raw political hardball mixed with hypocrisy.

A minority argues that the overall history here warrants court expansion. Only a small number of Democrats in Congress openly support this. Some observers are loudly supportive. 

The FDR court "packing" scheme is cited by both sides. Did it help change the law, or is it generally a sign the whole thing is a bad idea? 

FDR'S Gambit by Laura Kalman provides a detailed account while near the end drops an opinion that it was helpful for FDR's ends.

I found the book a tedious slog, without ignoring it is also an impressive work of scholarship. There is a lot of unnecessary detail without overall seeming to add much. I finally gave up reading the book straight through around 100 pages in. 

There are, as is usually the case, some interesting and informative details. Overall, however, I don't think I learned much new about the bottom line. 

The book ends up somewhat agnostic if dubious about a court expansion proposal today. The book was published in the middle of the Biden Administration. 

Ultimately, an expansion proposal should at least be pushed as a negotiation tactic. I have discussed this in the past and won't repeat myself here.

We now have evidence that Alito will retire soon, maybe in a few months. A 6-3 Court with four (and I think Thomas will resign before the end of Trump's term) younger conservatives nominated by Trump is just appalling.

Something major has to be done if the Democrats get a trifecta. A strong expansion faction might make it more likely that we will have serious reforms passed. 

SCOTUS News

SCOTUS dropped a schedule for the final oral arguments.

It also "may" (nearly always means they will) announce opinions on the 20th (when they officially come back from their break), 24th (they start hearing orals again the day before), and 25th (my sister's birthday). SCOTUSblog will have live blogging. 

For whatever reason, Oyez.com still doesn't have the opinion announcements from last term. There is a new AI-aided approach to provide video. Fix the Court has more, and its comments are basically on point. 

John Oliver's dog justice videos were good, too. 

Holiday

Okay. So, next Friday is when the justices officially come back with a conference (surely) and opinion announcements (probably). 

Tomorrow is a holiday. A historian is wary about the "monarchial" practice of celebrating presidential birthdays. Her piece is generally on point. 

The name of the holiday varies, including the use of punctuation. On the federal level, it is George Washington's Birthday, which was originally February 22 (using today's dating), so it is somewhat early to celebrate it on the 16th.